[GMS] My Advance of the Union and Justice Predictions [Jan. 3, 2012]

There are a few changes to my predictions for the Union and Justice updates.

Firstly, let’s highlight my correctness in the predictions of the Legends dates.

I predicted the first Legends update for December 7, 2011. It arrived on December 7.

I predicted the second Legends update for December 21, 2011. I was 3 days late, with it arriving on December 19.

I predicted the third Legends update for January 11, 2012. It will arrive on January 11.

But yeah, on to Union and Justice. The percentage chances predicted below are the chance that we will receive the first part of each major update in the month stated. It is also my accurate prediction for the chance that we will receive the update in the month stated if we receive it as one update instead of in parts like in KoreaMS.

Advance of the Union

March: 35%
April: 45%
May: 10%
June: 10%

Justice

Early or Middle June: 7%
Late June/Early or Middle July: 85%
Late July or August: 8%

[GMS] My Advance of the Union and Justice Predictions

The percentage chances predicted below are the chance that we will receive the first part of each major update in the month stated.

Advance of the Union

March: 30%
April: 45%
May: 10%
June: 10%
July: 5%

Justice

May: >1%
June: 15%
July (or very late June): 70%
August: 15%

I say we’ll get the Advance of the Union (revamps) as our Spring update and then the bigger Justice update with the new classes over the Summer.

[GMS] Legend and ‘Jump Season 2′ Predictions

Legend is coming and it’s coming fast. But as we issue in Legend, we now have what is being called ‘Jump Season 2′, a series of three updates in KMS which revamps all classes, to look forward to.

Legend

Assuming that we follow the same three update schedule that KoreaMS went through, I can predict the following:

1st Legend update: Cannon Shooter class, New World: ‘Legend’: December 7, 2011

2nd Legend update: Mercedes class, New World: ‘Cosmo’: December 21, 2011

3rd Legend update: Demon Slayer class: January 11, 2012

I’m 80% sure about the date of the first update, 60% sure about the date of the 2nd and 30% sure about the date of the 3rd. I’ll get more certain towards certain dates as we get closer to the updates.

Jump Season 2

I’ll explain my reasoning behind these predicts soon. But here are my predictions for the FIRST update (if we get it in more than one update). The months that we will have the update by:

March: 25%
April: 30%
May: 30%
June: 40%
July: 70%
August: 100%

So as you can see, I’m really leaning towards a Summer 2012 release date, but I don’t rule out Spring 2012.

Keep posted for more details!

The Reason I Predict Legend For This Winter

Update: And Nexon has done what I think is best and is on track for a Winter 2011 release of Legend as they release Ascension on September 28!

Some people have been asking why I insist on Legend coming to GlobalMS this Winter (December/January), rather than Spring 2012 (March/April) or Summer 2012 (June/July)  after reading my recent post with my predictions on Jump! and Legend’s arrivals.

The thing is that Legend features three new classes. THREE NEW CLASSES. Unless Nexon has lost their minds, they won’t release three new classes at any time other than Winter or Summer. Sure, Spring Break is a good time to release a big update (such as Evan in late March 2011), but it’s not very likely that THREE new classes will be released then. And since the next Summer is ten/eleven months away, I doubt we’ll be waiting that long. So the only logical time for the release of Legend is December 2011/January 2012. That is unless we plan to pull a MapleSEA and not release it until next Summer while receiving filler patches of events until then, like SEA did with Big Bang.

It’s not hard to predict that Legend will arrive this Winter. It’s hard to predict where Jump! will fit into this whole situation. But whatever Nexon has planned, I’m sure it’ll be for the best and I’m sure some exclusive content will be coming with it!

[GMS] It’s Just So Hard to Predict…

This new patch schedule is so hard to predict, especially for the rest of 2011. We have four months left in the year. Chaos came to an end two weeks ago. The four months left in 2011 is too long for us to only get one major update, but under this new schedule it seem it is also to short a time for Nexon to fit in two major updates.

Jump! will not be as spread out in GlobalMS as it was in KoreaMS. There was a three week delay between each Jump! patch in KMS. There won’t be such a delay in GlobalMS. In one of my possibilities, I say that GlobalMS might even get all Jump! content in a single update.

My three possibilities:

Number One

• Jump! will be announced in the next few weeks and will be patched into GlobalMS starting in the second half of September and end in late October. It will come in three updates, approximately two weeks apart from each other.
• Legend will come this Winter. The Legend updates will start in early December and end in early to mid January.

Number Two

• Jump! and Legend will be merged into a single series of updates to start this October or November and end in January.

Number Three

• We’ll have Jump! to start this October and end in late November and then head right into Legend after the last Jump! update, with Legend lasting from early December to January.

It’s so complicated right now. Two separate major update series, so little time. Anyway, we’ll see.

Chaos Predictions Updated!!!

I have finally updated my Chaos update predictions. Nexon has already started their usual months-in-advance update teasing. To see the predictions, see my Chaos and Jump! Predictions page.

Also, I’ve just noticed how untidy that page looks and I’ll try to organize it better soon.